We Carolina
W-L: (15-17) PR = 94.8370Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 63-94 1108 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 54-95 1113 A VOORH 95-44 1116 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 76-65 1119 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 80-73 1122 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 62-83 1129 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 73-93 1202 A VALYN **-62 1206 H SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 67-78 1211 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 74-96 1218 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 82-** 1218 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 82-** 1231 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 74-79 103 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 80-77 107 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 77-82 110 H The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 77-79 114 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 72-68 117 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 82-90 121 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 76-88 124 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 88-58 129 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 90-88 201 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 74-88 204 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 78-81 207 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 66-77 211 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 87-49 214 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 81-76 218 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 91-77 221 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-62 225 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 78-74 228 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 86-67 307 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 77-73 308 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 67-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Cincinnati 63-94 -31 -3 0.00
1108 H Duke 54-95 -41 -5 0.00
1116 A Stetson 76-65 11 1 1.39
1119 A UNC-Ash 80-73 7 0 1.93
1122 H Lipscomb 62-83 -21 0 -1.64
1129 H High Point 73-93 -20 -1 -0.51
1206 H SC Upstate 67-78 -11 1 - -2.75
1211 H Va Tech 74-96 -22 -3 0.00
1218 H Georgia 82-** -30 -3 0.00
1218 H Georgia 82-** -30 -3 0.00
1231 H Wofford 74-79 -5 0 -1.83
103 A Furman 80-77 3 -1 + 2.54
107 H Samford 77-82 -5 0 -1.76
110 H The Citadel 77-79 -2 1 - -2.92
114 A Ea Tenn St 72-68 4 -1 + 2.62
117 H Chattanooga 82-90 -8 1 - -2.66
121 H Mercer 76-88 -12 0 -1.65
124 A VMI 88-58 30 2 0.25
129 A Ea Tenn St 90-88 2 -1 + 2.62
201 H Samford 74-88 -14 0 -1.76
204 H UNCG 78-81 -3 0 - -2.33
207 H Wofford 66-77 -11 0 -1.83
211 A The Citadel 87-49 38 1 1.10
214 A Chattanooga 81-76 5 1 1.36
218 A UNCG 91-77 14 0 1.69
221 A VMI 81-62 19 2 0.25
225 A Mercer 78-74 4 0 + 2.37
228 A Furman 86-67 19 -1 + 2.54
307 A Mercer 77-73 4 0 + 2.37
308 H Ea Tenn St 67-69 -2 -1 -1.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H SC Upstate 67-78 -11 1 - -2.75 110 H The Citadel 77-79 -2 1 - -2.92 117 H Chattanooga 82-90 -8 1 - -2.66 204 H UNCG 78-81 -3 0 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A Furman 80-77 3 -1 + 2.54 114 A Ea Tenn St 72-68 4 -1 + 2.62 129 A Ea Tenn St 90-88 2 -1 + 2.62 225 A Mercer 78-74 4 0 + 2.37 228 A Furman 86-67 19 -1 + 2.54 307 A Mercer 77-73 4 0 + 2.37 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 63-94 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 54-95 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.10 -0.10
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 76-65 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.10 3.98
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 80-73 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.10 5.15
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 62-83 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 73-93 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 H SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 67-78 -5.80 1.67 -0.01 1.10 -3.20
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 74-96 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 82-** -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 82-** -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 74-79 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.69
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 80-77 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 77-82 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 H The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 77-79 -5.97 1.50 -0.01 1.10 -3.29
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 72-68 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.10 6.66
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 82-90 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.10 -3.15
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 76-88 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 88-58 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 90-88 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.10 6.66
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 74-88 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 78-81 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 66-77 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.69
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 87-49 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.10 3.33
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 81-76 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 91-77 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.64
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-62 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 78-74 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.10 6.13
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 86-67 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 77-73 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.10 6.13
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 67-69 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
------
25.90
|
winning pts = 64.0444 losing points = -38.1463
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------